The Donald Trump Presidency – reactions and likely impacts
Donald Trump’s victory in the US Presidential race last night was met with a mix of astonishment and derision across Europe. Although a narrow victory, it followed some common traits with the night of the Brexit referendum vote. Even Trump himself said a victory would be :
Brexit. Plus, plus, plus.
Donald Trump, President Elect
Not a surprise
Much of the election night coverage, in which most of the UK’s media was decamped to New York or Washington, had the same, now familiar ring of complacency that we heard on the eve of the Brexit referendum. Much talk of the Latino vote, blisfully unaware of the “hidden voter” seen in the Brexit vote.
Trump’s acceptance speech
Donald Trump had to wait a very long time to accept the nomination as President. He did surprise those supporters present by giving a speech that was totally different to everything his supporters had heard before. He started by praising Hillary Clinton :
I congratulated her and her family on a very hard fought campaign…
Hillary has worked very long and very hard over a long period of time and we owe her a major debt of gratitude for her service to our country.
Donald Trump, President Elect
It is time for us to come together and one united people. It’s time.
I pledge to every citizen of our land, that I will be president for all Americans – and this is so important to me.
For those who have chosen not to support me in the past, of which there were a few people, I am reaching out to you for your guidance and your help, so we can work together and unify our great country.
Most everybody in the world will react to Donald Trump’s presidency. Here’s Brexit24’s take on the more interesting ones we followed.
— ScotConservatives (@ScotTories) 9 November 2016
Germany and America are connected by values of democracy, freedom and respect for the law and the dignity of man, independent of origin, skin color, religion, gender, sexual orientation, or political views… I offer the next president of the United States close cooperation on the basis of these values.
Today, the establishment is in deep shock. Even more so than after Brexit.
— Nigel Farage (@Nigel_Farage) 9 November 2016
The Mexican press was less enthusiastic, the Mexican Excelsior headline below translates as “start shaking” :
Not so the Ku Klux Klan, whose leader tweeted :
— David Duke (@DrDavidDuke) 9 November 2016
Impacts on Europe
To paraphrase Ruth Davison (above), there may be a big difference between Trump The President and Trump The Candidate. From his acceptance speech however it is clear that Donald Trump will move the focus of the United States back into itself. He seems unlikely to want any kind of TTIP free trade deal with Europe, since he campaigned against it. He seems unlikely to keep Vladimir Putin out in the cold of post-Ukraine sanctions. We can expect the dollar to drop, as a nearly bust America goes back to the markets to raise the trillions required for his national programme of rebuilding infrastructure.
The countries that make up NATO will be fully aware of Donald Trump’s insistence that America stop subsidising the security of wealthy nations. Germany, in particular, will expect to see the closure of US bases on it’s territory and the borders between Europe & Russia and in particular, Ukraine, have just inched toward another Vladimir Putin styled assymetric war.
Impacts on Britain
Given the closeness between UKIP and the Trump Campaign, we can expect Nigel Farage to depart the UK for America in some kind of capacity and probably expect a Trump USA to be more pro-British once the United Kingdom has left the European Union.
Image : Donald Trump
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