2017: A busy year for Brexit already
So far in 2017, we lost an EU ambassador and got a new one. The Supreme Court is set to give its verdict on Article 50. Article 127 will go to court. And we should get a Brexit plan.
Not even a week into 2017 and it’s already looking busy in the world of Brexit politics. We lost our EU ambassador and got a new EU ambassador (or UK Representative to the EU). THANKFULLY, it wasn’t Nigel Farage. And there’s still lots to come!
2017 is the year of the rooster, which we’d normally take as a good thing but fear it might be more of a Trump Rooster…
— People’s Daily,China (@PDChina) 27 December 2016
Supreme Court verdict
This month, possibly very soon, we should get the verdict from the Supreme Court on Article 50. It’s expected that the 11 judges will vote in support of the High Court ruling that Parliament has the authority to invoke Article 50. But it may also add more to it as it also heard from the devolved governments. They had not been involved in the original case. Of course, it could also find in the government’s favour…
We finally hear Theresa May’s “vision for Britain outside the EU”
Whilst we haven’t had a “running commentary”, we’ve had “muddled thinking”, numerous leaks and an increasing number of adjectives used to describe Brexit. Later this month, Theresa May is set to give a big speech on Brexit. Hopefully, it will say a lot more than her New Year speech. The Guardian and Telegraph both report that the speech is likely to see her re-assert that immigration control is her red line. And that she is willing to leave the single market if the EU aren’t willing to budge on free movement.
Hopefully, it’ll be more substantial than just that! And that it will include something positive for the 3 million plus EU citizens in the UK.
A Brexit plan
Following a vote in the Commons last year, the government has been pushed to publish a Brexit plan (no commitment however on just how detailed the plan will be). David Davis has already said that this will not be ready until February at the earliest.
More Brexit in court
Article 127 of the European Economic Area (EEA) agreement is set to take centre stage in court at some point this year too. The Guardian reports that a group of four anonymous claimants have joined a judicial review started by British Influence. They want clarity over whether the UK needs to invoke Article 127 to leave the EEA. They argue that leaving the EU does not automatically mean leaving the EEA, which would mean that the UK stays in the single market in a similar way to Norway.
There is also a legal challenge being put forward in Ireland over whether Article 50 is reversible. If it can, this could give us the option of having another vote once a deal had been finalised to accept it or to stay in the EU. We have a summary of the various legal challenges on Brexit.
Meanwhile, banks may not wait
Banks and other financial services have already been making contingency plans. Lloyds of London has already started implementing theirs. Others may join them. The Guardian reports that announcements from banks are expected soon.
Article 50 triggered
Despite the government’s insistence that Article 50 will be invoked by the end of March, there is still the legal hurdle to jump over. And who knows what else might come up before then too.
Heaven help us… A Brexit movie
News reports have surfaced that there is interest from Warner Bros and Netflix to make Arron Banks’ book “The Bad Boys of Brexit” into a movie. Banks is a vocal Leave campaigner and invested heavily into Nigel Farage’s Leave campaign. Please, God, no.
We’ll finish with Lib Dem leader Tim Farron’s take on it.
It promises to be a horror flick found in the bargain bins.”
Tim Farron, leader of the Liberal Democrats